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Porsche to sell at least 80,000 cars in fiscal year 2005

STUTTGART, Germany, Jan 28, 2005; Christiaan Hetzner writing for Reuters reported that Porsche forecast its vehicle sales would rise to at least 80,000 in its fiscal year to July 2005, buoyed by new generations of its iconic 911 sports coupe and entry-level Boxster roadster.

The news disappointed some bullish investors and analysts, and weighed on its share price, although stronger than expected sales of its pricier models boosted its first-half sales, revenue and earnings.

Headline earnings before taxes increased 6.5 percent to 225 million euros ($293 million) for the six months to end-January, while net income climbed 4.5 percent to 125 million, exactly in line with consensus estimates.

Porsche, which has the highest profit margins in the global auto industry, reiterated it expected a continued high level of profit and revenue growth for the full year.

In the previous year, Porsche boosted sales 15 percent to 76,827 vehicles, generating revenue of 6.36 billion euros and pretax profit of 1.09 billion.

The vehicle sales forecast, however, was lower than some had been looking for.

"I expect the share will come under some pressure today. The outlook is rather disappointing. Many people in the market had hoped Porsche would guide for car sales of 85,000," said Landesbank Rheinland-Pfalz analyst Michael Punzet.

Porsche shares fell 2.3 percent to 500.00 euros by 1337 GMT, underperforming a slight 0.2 percent drop in the DJ Stoxx European autos index .

Analysts focus more on the sales forecast than on interim earnings due to Porsche's conservative habit of front-loading all full-year provisions in the first half.

"The tax rate of 44.4 percent signals that Porsche still kept its very conservative accounting in the first half," HVB analyst Georg Stuerzer wrote to clients on Friday.


Chief Executive Wendelin Wiedeking remained tight-lipped about a possible fourth model line -- the subject of intense speculation -- reiterating that a decision whether to proceed would be taken by July.

"If we do say yes, then it's clear we will have even fewer friends in the industry," the Porsche CEO told shareholders. "How would it look? Well, it will have four wheels, and that's all I'll say for now."

Despite the relaunch of both the Boxster and the 911, some analysts believe Porsche needs a fourth model line to justify its equity story as a growth stock.

Even without one, however, Wiedeking expects vehicle sales could still rise to an annual 100,000 vehicles in the next two to three years with its big push into new markets such as Russia, China and India.

Source: autochannel
I wonder what the possible new model will be? A sporty minvan now that they have an SUV :p. Imagine one with a 450hp TT v8 :eek. Perhaps a cheaper entry level car that will slot in below the Boxster. Guess we'll know soon if they do decide to add a 4th model. 80,000 units is a lot considering the prices of their vehicles.
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